Please use this identifier to cite or link to this item: http://buratest.brunel.ac.uk/handle/2438/990
Title: Testing For Financial Contagion Between Developed And Emerging Markets During The 1997 East Asian Crisis
Authors: Arestis, P
Caporale, GM
Cipollini, A
Spagnolo, N
Keywords: Contagion, Financial Crises, Conditional Correlation
Issue Date: 2005
Publisher: Brunel University
Citation: Economics and Finance Working papers, Brunel University, 05-08
Abstract: In this paper we examine whether during the 1997 East Asian crisis there was any contagion from the four largest economies in the region (Thailand, Indonesia, Korea and Malaysia) to a number of developed countries (Japan, UK, Germany and France). Following Forbes and Rigobon (2002), we test for contagion as a significant positive shift in the correlation between asset returns, taking into account heteroscedasticity and endogeneity bias. Furthermore, we improve on earlier empirical studies by carrying out a full sample test of the stability of the system that relies on more plausible (over)identifying restrictions. The estimation results provide some evidence of contagion, in particular from Japan (the major international lender in the region), which drastically cut its credit lines to the other Asian countries in 1997.
URI: http://bura.brunel.ac.uk/handle/2438/990
Appears in Collections:Economics and Finance
Dept of Economics and Finance Research Papers

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